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Red57
23335.9
394617.5
360612.7
Blue67
595318.5
532511.5
435318.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions694102060801005767

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#3
35.90.4
35.635.2
Auto10.7
Teleop19.9
End5.3
red by 17.4
5953
#48
18.51.7
16.718.4
Auto3.1
Teleop12.5
End2.9
Second
3946
#18
17.50.6
16.015.4
Auto2.3
Teleop13.2
End2.0
blue by 0.8
4353
#26
18.31.7
16.117.8
Auto5.4
Teleop9.8
End3.1
Third
3606
#52
12.70.6
11.510.9
Auto3.9
Teleop7.3
End1.4
red by 1.2
5325
#38
11.51.7
11.212.9
Auto1.8
Teleop7.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsMissed24%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed