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Red111
176838.2
105844.3
556325.0
Blue163
12535.3
23841.9
207926.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13012780100120140160111163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.30.3
43.743.4
Auto9.8
Teleop21.1
End13.4
red by 2.4
238
#2
41.90.4
40.540.9
Auto13.5
Teleop23.0
End5.4
Second
1768
#13
38.20.3
37.637.2
Auto10.4
Teleop19.6
End8.2
red by 2.9
125
#28
35.30.4
33.834.3
Auto12.5
Teleop19.3
End3.5
Third
5563
#19
25.00.3
24.424.1
Auto2.4
Teleop16.9
End5.7
blue by 1.3
2079
#20
26.30.4
24.925.3
Auto9.7
Teleop12.7
End4.0