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Red103
287741.7
12639.8
555631.2
Blue118
417628.1
226228.4
573529.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1489550200103118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.70.8
42.541.7
Auto19.9
Teleop17.9
End3.9
red by 12.4
5735
#16
29.20.2
28.328.5
Auto2.9
Teleop21.6
End4.7
Second
126
#3
39.80.8
40.639.8
Auto11.2
Teleop22.9
End5.7
red by 11.4
28.40.2
27.427.7
Auto8.6
Teleop15.5
End4.2
Third
5556
#14
31.20.8
32.031.2
Auto8.7
Teleop15.9
End6.6
red by 3.1
4176
#18
28.10.2
27.127.4
Auto9.6
Teleop13.6
End4.8