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Red121
287741.7
12639.8
555631.2
Blue152
417628.1
226228.4
573529.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1509250200121152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.70.5
42.942.5
Auto19.9
Teleop17.9
End3.9
red by 12.4
5735
#16
29.20.6
27.728.3
Auto2.9
Teleop21.6
End4.7
Second
126
#3
39.80.5
41.140.6
Auto11.2
Teleop22.9
End5.7
red by 11.4
28.40.6
26.927.4
Auto8.6
Teleop15.5
End4.2
Third
5556
#14
31.20.5
32.532.0
Auto8.7
Teleop15.9
End6.6
red by 3.1
4176
#18
28.10.6
26.627.1
Auto9.6
Teleop13.6
End4.8