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Red69
346733.2
24631.9
107318.5
Blue132
81127.0
110029.3
490829.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11310640608012014016018069132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.20.7
34.433.7
Auto7.0
Teleop22.4
End3.8
red by 3.9
29.30.6
29.429.9
Auto7.4
Teleop18.5
End3.4
Second
246
#4
31.90.7
33.032.3
Auto11.3
Teleop16.8
End3.8
red by 2.7
4908
#23
29.10.6
29.229.8
Auto6.1
Teleop19.1
End4.0
Third
1073
#37
18.50.7
19.719.0
Auto3.3
Teleop12.9
End2.3
blue by 8.4
811
#25
27.00.6
27.027.6
Auto4.2
Teleop16.1
End6.7