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Red143
12535.3
23841.9
542223.2
Blue161
417628.1
226228.4
573529.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129990200300400143161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#2
41.90.2
40.941.1
Auto13.5
Teleop23.0
End5.4
red by 12.7
5735
#16
29.20.6
28.529.1
Auto2.9
Teleop21.6
End4.7
Second
125
#28
35.30.2
34.234.5
Auto12.5
Teleop19.3
End3.5
red by 6.9
28.40.6
27.728.3
Auto8.6
Teleop15.5
End4.2
Third
5422
#29
23.20.2
22.923.2
Auto8.1
Teleop10.6
End4.4
blue by 4.9
4176
#18
28.10.6
27.428.0
Auto9.6
Teleop13.6
End4.8