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Red50
81127.0
128920.7
346621.5
Blue57
6928.8
534721.2
573529.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6869506080905057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
811
#25
27.00.9
26.325.5
Auto4.2
Teleop16.1
End6.7
blue by 2.2
5735
#16
29.20.7
23.122.4
Auto2.9
Teleop21.6
End4.7
Second
3466
#39
21.50.9
18.317.4
Auto7.4
Teleop9.7
End4.4
blue by 7.2
69
#9
28.80.7
27.226.5
Auto9.3
Teleop13.6
End5.9
Third
1289
#35
20.70.9
18.417.5
Auto4.4
Teleop12.4
End3.9
blue by 0.5
5347
#32
21.20.7
16.615.9
Auto7.5
Teleop10.4
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
37%Breach oddsMissed70%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed