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Red82
362319.7
556325.0
417628.1
Blue70
208428.0
107318.5
378017.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6466304050607080901001108270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4176
#18
28.10.9
23.124.0
Auto9.6
Teleop13.6
End4.8
red by 0.1
2084
#26
28.00.5
29.930.4
Auto9.4
Teleop15.2
End3.4
Second
5563
#19
25.00.9
17.818.7
Auto2.4
Teleop16.9
End5.7
red by 6.5
1073
#37
18.50.5
17.017.6
Auto3.3
Teleop12.9
End2.3
Third
3623
#31
19.70.9
22.723.6
Auto4.9
Teleop12.2
End2.5
red by 2.3
3780
#21
17.40.5
15.315.9
Auto6.6
Teleop10.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
62%Breach oddsEarned73%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed