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Red77
242318.5
555631.2
545922.9
Blue45
479617.8
556325.0
346733.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions627520401001201401607745

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5556
#14
31.20.6
27.828.4
Auto8.7
Teleop15.9
End6.6
blue by 2.0
33.21.5
32.330.8
Auto7.0
Teleop22.4
End3.8
Second
5459
#27
22.90.6
19.620.2
Auto4.9
Teleop13.8
End4.2
blue by 2.1
5563
#19
25.01.5
19.017.6
Auto2.4
Teleop16.9
End5.7
Third
2423
#36
18.50.6
14.915.6
Auto5.9
Teleop9.3
End3.3
red by 0.7
4796
#38
17.81.5
16.014.5
Auto3.9
Teleop10.2
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
56%Breach oddsEarned69%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed