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Red64
6928.8
81127.0
107318.5
Blue79
242318.5
346733.2
378017.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions836220401001201406479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69
#9
28.81.4
27.626.2
Auto9.3
Teleop13.6
End5.9
blue by 4.5
33.21.3
31.432.6
Auto7.0
Teleop22.4
End3.8
Second
811
#25
27.01.4
30.128.7
Auto4.2
Teleop16.1
End6.7
red by 8.5
2423
#36
18.51.3
15.817.1
Auto5.9
Teleop9.3
End3.3
Third
1073
#37
18.51.4
17.416.0
Auto3.3
Teleop12.9
End2.3
red by 1.2
3780
#21
17.41.3
12.914.2
Auto6.6
Teleop10.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
59%Breach oddsMissed29%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed