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Red61
534721.2
12535.3
46726.9
Blue95
176838.2
175726.8
500029.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79892040601001201406195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#28
35.31.1
34.032.9
Auto12.5
Teleop19.3
End3.5
blue by 2.9
1768
#13
38.20.3
32.733.0
Auto10.4
Teleop19.6
End8.2
Second
467
#11
26.91.1
26.024.9
Auto4.6
Teleop17.9
End4.4
blue by 2.2
5000
#12
29.10.3
26.126.4
Auto10.4
Teleop13.4
End5.4
Third
5347
#32
21.21.1
17.216.1
Auto7.5
Teleop10.4
End3.3
blue by 5.5
1757
#15
26.80.3
26.827.1
Auto7.5
Teleop15.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
64%Breach oddsEarned76%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed