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Red85
556325.0
24631.9
6928.8
Blue79
35556.6
287741.7
490829.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80740501001502008579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
246
#4
31.90.5
32.533.0
Auto11.3
Teleop16.8
End3.8
blue by 9.8
41.70.4
41.041.3
Auto19.9
Teleop17.9
End3.9
Second
69
#9
28.80.5
26.226.7
Auto9.3
Teleop13.6
End5.9
blue by 0.4
4908
#23
29.10.4
26.526.9
Auto6.1
Teleop19.1
End4.0
Third
5563
#19
25.00.5
19.019.5
Auto2.4
Teleop16.9
End5.7
red by 18.5
3555
#40
6.60.4
5.76.1
Auto0.1
Teleop6.8
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach oddsEarned62%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed