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Red120
207926.3
12535.3
110029.3
Blue70
545922.9
500029.1
107318.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions926605015020012070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#28
35.31.6
35.136.8
Auto12.5
Teleop19.3
End3.5
red by 6.2
5000
#12
29.10.2
28.628.8
Auto10.4
Teleop13.4
End5.4
Second
29.31.6
28.830.4
Auto7.4
Teleop18.5
End3.4
red by 6.4
5459
#27
22.90.2
19.719.9
Auto4.9
Teleop13.8
End4.2
Third
2079
#20
26.31.6
21.623.2
Auto9.7
Teleop12.7
End4.0
red by 7.8
1073
#37
18.50.2
18.318.5
Auto3.3
Teleop12.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned65%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed