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Red104
176838.2
596918.9
226228.4
Blue90
490829.1
175726.8
545922.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions867520406010012014016010490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1768
#13
38.20.4
35.135.6
Auto10.4
Teleop19.6
End8.2
red by 9.0
4908
#23
29.10.7
27.828.5
Auto6.1
Teleop19.1
End4.0
Second
28.40.4
27.327.8
Auto8.6
Teleop15.5
End4.2
red by 1.6
1757
#15
26.80.7
26.427.1
Auto7.5
Teleop15.0
End4.3
Third
5969
#22
18.90.4
19.920.4
Auto4.6
Teleop11.3
End2.9
blue by 4.1
5459
#27
22.90.7
20.521.2
Auto4.9
Teleop13.8
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
74%Breach oddsEarned84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned