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Red99
242318.5
12535.3
196521.5
Blue81
534721.2
362319.7
500029.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7964020401001201401609981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#28
35.31.7
36.838.4
Auto12.5
Teleop19.3
End3.5
red by 6.2
5000
#12
29.10.8
28.629.3
Auto10.4
Teleop13.4
End5.4
Second
1965
#30
21.51.7
20.121.8
Auto6.4
Teleop10.1
End5.0
red by 0.3
5347
#32
21.20.8
18.218.9
Auto7.5
Teleop10.4
End3.3
Third
2423
#36
18.51.7
17.319.0
Auto5.9
Teleop9.3
End3.3
blue by 1.2
3623
#31
19.70.8
17.918.6
Auto4.9
Teleop12.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
43%Breach oddsEarned78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed