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Red103
346733.2
6928.8
12127.6
Blue90
207926.3
555631.2
556325.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94755015010390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.20.8
32.633.4
Auto7.0
Teleop22.4
End3.8
red by 2.0
5556
#14
31.20.6
31.031.5
Auto8.7
Teleop15.9
End6.6
Second
69
#9
28.80.8
28.128.8
Auto9.3
Teleop13.6
End5.9
red by 2.4
2079
#20
26.30.6
23.924.5
Auto9.7
Teleop12.7
End4.0
Third
121
#33
27.60.8
25.826.6
Auto7.2
Teleop18.0
End2.4
red by 2.6
5563
#19
25.00.6
21.522.1
Auto2.4
Teleop16.9
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed