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Red120
176838.2
107318.5
12639.8
Blue117
23841.9
545922.9
287741.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9410750150200120117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#3
39.81.1
39.440.5
Auto11.2
Teleop22.9
End5.7
blue by 2.1
238
#2
41.91.0
39.640.7
Auto13.5
Teleop23.0
End5.4
Second
1768
#13
38.21.1
35.636.7
Auto10.4
Teleop19.6
End8.2
blue by 3.5
41.71.0
41.042.0
Auto19.9
Teleop17.9
End3.9
Third
1073
#37
18.51.1
18.319.4
Auto3.3
Teleop12.9
End2.3
blue by 4.4
5459
#27
22.91.0
21.222.2
Auto4.9
Teleop13.8
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed6%Capture oddsEarned