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Red49
542223.2
12535.3
81127.0
Blue92
208428.0
573529.2
362319.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100660501504992

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#28
35.32.8
38.435.6
Auto12.5
Teleop19.3
End3.5
red by 6.1
5735
#16
29.21.5
25.426.8
Auto2.9
Teleop21.6
End4.7
Second
811
#25
27.02.8
28.826.0
Auto4.2
Teleop16.1
End6.7
blue by 1.0
2084
#26
28.01.5
26.027.5
Auto9.4
Teleop15.2
End3.4
Third
5422
#29
23.22.8
23.821.0
Auto8.1
Teleop10.6
End4.4
red by 3.5
3623
#31
19.71.5
18.620.1
Auto4.9
Teleop12.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach oddsMissed87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed