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Red163
12535.3
23841.9
207926.3
Blue105
417628.1
226228.4
573529.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1341000200300400163105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#2
41.90.2
41.141.2
Auto13.5
Teleop23.0
End5.4
red by 12.7
5735
#16
29.20.0
29.129.1
Auto2.9
Teleop21.6
End4.7
Second
125
#28
35.30.2
34.534.6
Auto12.5
Teleop19.3
End3.5
red by 6.9
28.40.0
28.328.3
Auto8.6
Teleop15.5
End4.2
Third
2079
#20
26.30.2
25.525.7
Auto9.7
Teleop12.7
End4.0
blue by 1.7
4176
#18
28.10.0
28.028.0
Auto9.6
Teleop13.6
End4.8