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Red140
15532.1
19540.8
346130.5
Blue113
23036.7
9529.5
318220.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12610280140160180200140113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#4
40.80.3
39.840.2
Auto9.7
Teleop25.2
End5.8
red by 4.1
230
#6
36.70.2
36.336.4
Auto10.5
Teleop22.5
End3.7
Second
155
#15
32.10.3
31.131.4
Auto8.7
Teleop16.3
End7.0
red by 2.6
95
#2
29.50.2
29.129.3
Auto8.0
Teleop16.7
End4.8
Third
3461
#16
30.50.3
29.629.9
Auto9.0
Teleop17.1
End4.4
red by 10.0
3182
#23
20.50.2
20.120.2
Auto5.3
Teleop11.2
End4.0