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Red145
112428.5
18132.7
415118.5
Blue69
490824.9
323621.9
34823.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8986608010012014014569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181
#3
32.70.6
31.632.2
Auto10.8
Teleop16.3
End5.6
red by 7.9
4908
#18
24.90.3
25.124.9
Auto5.3
Teleop15.8
End3.8
Second
28.50.5
27.528.0
Auto6.8
Teleop18.8
End2.9
red by 5.3
348
#19
23.20.3
23.423.2
Auto7.7
Teleop11.5
End3.9
Third
4151
#24
18.50.5
17.418.0
Auto2.9
Teleop13.5
End2.1
blue by 3.5
21.90.3
22.221.9
Auto7.0
Teleop11.7
End3.2