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Red152
112428.5
18132.7
415118.5
Blue102
490824.9
323621.9
34823.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8786406080100120140152102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181
#3
32.70.7
30.931.6
Auto10.8
Teleop16.3
End5.6
red by 7.9
4908
#18
24.90.1
25.025.1
Auto5.3
Teleop15.8
End3.8
Second
28.50.6
26.827.5
Auto6.8
Teleop18.8
End2.9
red by 5.3
348
#19
23.20.1
23.323.4
Auto7.7
Teleop11.5
End3.9
Third
4151
#24
18.50.6
16.817.4
Auto2.9
Teleop13.5
End2.1
blue by 3.5
21.90.1
22.022.2
Auto7.0
Teleop11.7
End3.2