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Red180
15532.1
19540.8
346130.5
Blue65
500023.7
8830.7
584619.1
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122855010015020018065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#4
40.80.9
37.838.7
Auto9.7
Teleop25.2
End5.8
red by 10.1
88
#7
30.70.2
30.930.7
Auto7.5
Teleop17.5
End5.7
Second
155
#15
32.10.9
29.130.0
Auto8.7
Teleop16.3
End7.0
red by 8.3
5000
#13
23.70.2
24.023.7
Auto8.0
Teleop12.7
End3.0
Third
3461
#16
30.50.9
27.528.4
Auto9.0
Teleop17.1
End4.4
red by 11.4
5846
#17
19.10.2
19.419.1
Auto7.4
Teleop9.7
End2.1