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Red140
23036.7
9529.5
318220.5
Blue124
112428.5
18132.7
415118.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1088820406080100120140160140124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#6
36.70.2
36.036.2
Auto10.5
Teleop22.5
End3.7
red by 3.9
181
#3
32.70.2
32.532.7
Auto10.8
Teleop16.3
End5.6
Second
95
#2
29.50.2
28.829.0
Auto8.0
Teleop16.7
End4.8
red by 1.0
28.50.2
28.228.5
Auto6.8
Teleop18.8
End2.9
Third
3182
#23
20.50.2
19.820.0
Auto5.3
Teleop11.2
End4.0
red by 2.0
4151
#24
18.50.2
18.218.4
Auto2.9
Teleop13.5
End2.1