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Red68
9529.5
500023.7
18132.7
Blue63
8830.7
10277.0
395820.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615201001502002503006863

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181
#3
32.71.0
21.022.0
Auto10.8
Teleop16.3
End5.6
red by 2.0
88
#7
30.70.8
25.626.4
Auto7.5
Teleop17.5
End5.7
Second
95
#2
29.50.6
20.721.3
Auto8.0
Teleop16.7
End4.8
red by 8.7
3958
#22
20.80.9
19.820.7
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End3.8
Third
5000
#13
23.71.0
17.018.0
Auto8.0
Teleop12.7
End3.0
red by 16.8
1027
#30
7.00.8
5.56.3
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
37%Breach oddsMissed45%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed