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Red35
549411.6
417621.9
323621.9
Blue74
511223.2
112428.5
24626.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57692040801003574

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.91.5
16.515.0
Auto7.0
Teleop11.7
End3.2
blue by 6.6
28.50.3
25.926.1
Auto6.8
Teleop18.8
End2.9
Second
4176
#20
21.91.6
18.416.8
Auto5.8
Teleop11.9
End4.2
blue by 4.9
246
#11
26.80.3
18.618.9
Auto8.0
Teleop15.8
End3.0
Third
5494
#32DQ
11.62.4
22.019.5
Auto1.9
Teleop8.8
End1.0
blue by 11.6
5112
#25
23.20.4
20.520.9
Auto10.8
Teleop9.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
27%Breach oddsMissed26%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed