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Red92
107121.7
620118.6
23036.7
Blue69
318220.5
18132.7
511223.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions787640601001209269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#6
36.70.4
34.835.2
Auto10.5
Teleop22.5
End3.7
red by 3.9
181
#3
32.70.5
31.631.1
Auto10.8
Teleop16.3
End5.6
Second
1071
#21
21.70.4
21.321.7
Auto7.3
Teleop10.6
End3.8
blue by 1.6
5112
#25
23.20.5
24.924.4
Auto10.8
Teleop9.9
End2.6
Third
6201
#28
18.60.4
19.720.2
Auto6.1
Teleop8.9
End3.6
blue by 1.8
3182
#23
20.50.5
17.617.1
Auto5.3
Teleop11.2
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach oddsEarned71%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed