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Red77
500023.7
24626.8
12124.0
Blue84
323621.9
19540.8
112428.5
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66884060801001201407784

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
246
#11
26.80.7
26.226.9
Auto8.0
Teleop15.8
End3.0
blue by 14.0
195
#4
40.80.2
36.736.9
Auto9.7
Teleop25.2
End5.8
Second
121
#10
24.01.0
19.620.6
Auto8.4
Teleop14.1
End1.5
blue by 4.5
28.50.1
27.127.2
Auto6.8
Teleop18.8
End2.9
Third
5000
#13
23.71.0
21.122.2
Auto8.0
Teleop12.7
End3.0
red by 1.8
21.90.1
18.118.2
Auto7.0
Teleop11.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
29%Breach oddsEarned63%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed