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Red76
346130.5
17820.0
135018.8
Blue58
34823.2
395820.8
595812.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55622040801007658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3461
#16
30.52.1
20.022.1
Auto9.0
Teleop17.1
End4.4
red by 7.3
348
#19
23.20.1
25.325.2
Auto7.7
Teleop11.5
End3.9
Second
178
#12
20.01.4
18.019.4
Auto6.4
Teleop10.3
End3.3
blue by 0.8
3958
#22
20.80.1
23.022.9
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End3.8
Third
1350
#26
18.82.1
16.518.6
Auto7.4
Teleop9.1
End2.4
red by 6.7
5958
#29
12.10.1
10.910.8
Auto2.3
Teleop7.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
31%Breach oddsEarned56%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed