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Red154
283447.1
233734.9
569520.9
Blue152
24539.5
505044.6
439530.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146146120130140150160170154152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2834
Unranked
47.10.0
47.147.1
Auto12.9
Teleop29.3
End4.8
red by 2.5
5050
Unranked
44.60.0
44.644.6
Auto10.4
Teleop26.5
End7.6
Second
2337
Unranked
34.90.0
34.934.9
Auto9.4
Teleop21.7
End3.8
blue by 4.6
245
Unranked
39.50.0
39.539.5
Auto9.8
Teleop26.4
End3.2
Third
5695
Unranked
20.90.0
20.920.9
Auto4.1
Teleop12.5
End4.3
blue by 9.9
4395
Unranked
30.80.0
30.830.8
Auto8.6
Teleop15.8
End6.4