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Red139
496747.2
283447.1
332220.9
Blue97
46928.5
7043.7
24539.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11911405010015020025013997

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4967
Unranked
47.20.0
47.247.2
Auto8.7
Teleop30.7
End7.9
red by 3.6
70
Unranked
43.70.0
43.743.7
Auto14.0
Teleop25.2
End4.5
Second
2834
Unranked
47.10.0
47.147.1
Auto12.9
Teleop29.3
End4.8
red by 7.6
245
Unranked
39.50.0
39.539.5
Auto9.8
Teleop26.4
End3.2
Third
3322
Unranked
20.90.0
20.920.9
Auto5.8
Teleop13.0
End2.0
blue by 7.6
469
Unranked
28.50.0
28.528.5
Auto10.3
Teleop14.2
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach odds81%Breach odds
Capture
41%Capture odds14%Capture odds