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Red90
283230.7
50342.0
5130.6
Blue95
57338.7
233734.9
54842.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103123501509095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
Unranked
42.00.0
42.042.0
Auto10.2
Teleop21.3
End10.5
blue by 1.0
548
Unranked
42.90.0
42.942.9
Auto9.6
Teleop28.3
End5.0
Second
2832
Unranked
30.70.0
30.730.7
Auto10.2
Teleop14.6
End5.8
blue by 8.0
573
Unranked
38.70.0
38.738.7
Auto9.7
Teleop24.7
End4.4
Third
51
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto11.5
Teleop15.9
End3.2
blue by 4.3
2337
Unranked
34.90.0
34.934.9
Auto9.4
Teleop21.7
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach odds98%Breach odds
Capture
42%Capture odds49%Capture odds