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Red95
543625.0
505044.6
24539.5
Blue82
191851.6
107627.4
283447.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109133501502009582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5050
Unranked
44.60.0
44.644.6
Auto10.4
Teleop26.5
End7.6
blue by 7.0
1918
Unranked
51.60.0
51.651.6
Auto13.5
Teleop27.9
End10.2
Second
245
Unranked
39.50.0
39.539.5
Auto9.8
Teleop26.4
End3.2
blue by 7.6
2834
Unranked
47.10.0
47.147.1
Auto12.9
Teleop29.3
End4.8
Third
5436
Unranked
25.00.0
25.025.0
Auto6.1
Teleop14.9
End4.1
blue by 2.4
1076
Unranked
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto8.2
Teleop14.1
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach odds99%Breach odds
Capture
29%Capture odds57%Capture odds