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Red104
596220.3
492923.7
271318.7
Blue134
287625.5
208430.0
24618.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions689920406080120140160104134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.70.5
23.123.6
Auto7.1
Teleop11.1
End5.5
blue by 6.3
30.00.2
29.930.1
Auto10.2
Teleop15.4
End4.4
Second
5962
#13
20.30.5
19.720.2
Auto2.9
Teleop12.9
End4.5
blue by 5.2
25.50.2
25.425.6
Auto9.2
Teleop14.6
End1.6
Third
2713
#22
18.70.5
18.118.6
Auto6.0
Teleop10.8
End1.8
red by 0.1
246
#37
18.60.2
18.518.7
Auto4.5
Teleop11.8
End2.4