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Red130
393030.2
490533.2
169924.2
Blue119
476125.2
13341.8
447420.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11111190100120130130119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.20.1
34.033.9
Auto11.1
Teleop16.4
End5.8
blue by 8.5
133
#3
41.80.0
42.442.3
Auto11.2
Teleop25.2
End5.4
Second
30.20.1
31.030.8
Auto7.2
Teleop17.6
End5.4
red by 5.0
25.20.0
25.825.8
Auto5.7
Teleop15.7
End3.8
Third
1699
#28
24.20.1
25.024.9
Auto9.3
Teleop10.4
End4.5
red by 3.4
4474
#16
20.80.0
21.421.4
Auto5.7
Teleop11.8
End3.3