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Red95
393030.2
490533.2
169924.2
Blue102
555622.8
620122.0
147417.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120655010015095102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.20.3
34.333.9
Auto11.1
Teleop16.4
End5.8
red by 10.4
5556
#14
22.80.5
22.222.6
Auto6.9
Teleop11.8
End4.2
Second
30.20.3
31.230.9
Auto7.2
Teleop17.6
End5.4
red by 8.2
6201
#11
22.00.5
21.321.8
Auto8.1
Teleop10.4
End3.6
Third
1699
#28
24.20.3
25.224.9
Auto9.3
Teleop10.4
End4.5
red by 6.9
1474
#24
17.30.5
16.617.1
Auto6.3
Teleop8.0
End3.0