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Red138
393030.2
490533.2
169924.2
Blue64
476125.2
13341.8
447420.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11111070809010012013013864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.20.0
33.933.9
Auto11.1
Teleop16.4
End5.8
blue by 8.5
133
#3
41.80.6
42.341.8
Auto11.2
Teleop25.2
End5.4
Second
30.20.0
30.830.8
Auto7.2
Teleop17.6
End5.4
red by 5.0
25.20.6
25.825.2
Auto5.7
Teleop15.7
End3.8
Third
1699
#28
24.20.0
24.924.8
Auto9.3
Teleop10.4
End4.5
red by 3.4
4474
#16
20.80.6
21.420.8
Auto5.7
Teleop11.8
End3.3