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Red78
393030.2
596220.3
476125.2
Blue57
24618.6
208430.0
556316.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5556203040506070807857

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.22.0
22.224.2
Auto7.2
Teleop17.6
End5.4
red by 0.2
30.00.1
17.817.7
Auto10.2
Teleop15.4
End4.4
Second
25.22.0
20.722.7
Auto5.7
Teleop15.7
End3.8
red by 6.6
246
#37
18.60.1
20.420.3
Auto4.5
Teleop11.8
End2.4
Third
5962
#13
20.32.0
12.114.1
Auto2.9
Teleop12.9
End4.5
red by 3.8
5563
#32
16.50.1
14.814.6
Auto3.5
Teleop10.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
39%Breach oddsEarned30%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed