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Red30
431120.9
242314.9
128917.6
Blue42
9712.5
147417.3
105831.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5254203040607080903042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4311
#34
20.92.6
21.819.1
Auto9.3
Teleop7.2
End4.4
blue by 10.6
31.51.3
28.927.6
Auto9.5
Teleop15.0
End7.0
Second
1289
#26
17.62.6
13.410.8
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End4.6
red by 0.3
1474
#24
17.30.8
10.59.8
Auto6.3
Teleop8.0
End3.0
Third
2423
#30
14.92.6
13.610.9
Auto4.7
Teleop9.9
End0.3
red by 2.3
97
#31
12.51.3
14.012.7
Auto2.4
Teleop9.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
32%Breach oddsMissed40%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed