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Red40
242314.9
176116.2
9712.5
Blue42
492923.7
534715.4
356610.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483602060801004042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1761
#38
16.20.6
17.016.4
Auto3.7
Teleop10.2
End2.4
blue by 7.5
23.70.4
18.218.6
Auto7.1
Teleop11.1
End5.5
Second
2423
#30
14.90.6
15.715.1
Auto4.7
Teleop9.9
End0.3
blue by 0.6
5347
#35
15.40.5
10.310.8
Auto6.3
Teleop6.1
End3.0
Third
97
#31
12.50.6
12.812.2
Auto2.4
Teleop9.3
End0.7
red by 1.8
3566
#23
10.70.3
9.39.6
Auto2.7
Teleop6.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsMissed25%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed