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Red64
620122.0
128917.6
596912.1
Blue90
490925.2
13341.8
476125.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions409402060801201401606490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6201
#11
22.01.0
18.819.8
Auto8.1
Teleop10.4
End3.6
blue by 19.8
133
#3
41.80.7
40.741.3
Auto11.2
Teleop25.2
End5.4
Second
1289
#26
17.60.7
14.915.6
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End4.6
blue by 7.6
25.20.7
23.824.5
Auto5.7
Teleop15.7
End3.8
Third
5969
#36
12.11.0
11.011.9
Auto2.5
Teleop8.1
End1.5
blue by 13.0
4909
#10
25.20.7
19.219.9
Auto7.9
Teleop12.6
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
45%Breach oddsMissed88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed