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Red92
492923.7
208430.0
107314.7
Blue62
620122.0
555622.8
176116.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70572040801001209262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.02.1
27.529.6
Auto10.2
Teleop15.4
End4.4
red by 7.2
5556
#14
22.80.3
20.821.1
Auto6.9
Teleop11.8
End4.2
Second
23.72.1
19.421.6
Auto7.1
Teleop11.1
End5.5
red by 1.7
6201
#11
22.00.3
20.220.5
Auto8.1
Teleop10.4
End3.6
Third
1073
#21
14.71.8
16.117.9
Auto5.1
Teleop8.8
End0.8
blue by 1.6
1761
#38
16.20.3
17.417.7
Auto3.7
Teleop10.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
59%Breach oddsEarned54%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed