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Red74
575221.3
50122.2
393030.2
Blue77
128917.6
490533.2
5824.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76790501001502002503007477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.20.1
28.728.8
Auto7.2
Teleop17.6
End5.4
blue by 3.0
33.20.1
34.334.2
Auto11.1
Teleop16.4
End5.8
Second
501
#18
22.20.0
20.320.3
Auto9.7
Teleop10.2
End2.3
blue by 1.7
58
#12
24.00.1
22.422.3
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End5.1
Third
5752
#15
21.30.1
24.324.4
Auto7.0
Teleop9.7
End4.6
red by 3.7
1289
#26
17.60.1
16.516.4
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
67%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed