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Red70
476125.2
545917.8
417618.4
Blue68
616122.5
415117.1
24618.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575740506070807068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.21.3
23.324.6
Auto5.7
Teleop15.7
End3.8
red by 2.8
6161
#19
22.50.3
19.319.6
Auto9.1
Teleop9.4
End3.9
Second
4176
#29
18.41.4
16.017.4
Auto4.5
Teleop11.7
End2.2
blue by 0.2
246
#37
18.60.2
20.620.8
Auto4.5
Teleop11.8
End2.4
Third
5459
#27
17.81.4
16.017.4
Auto4.8
Teleop10.8
End2.1
red by 0.7
4151
#17
17.10.2
15.315.6
Auto3.1
Teleop11.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
54%Breach oddsEarned21%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed