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Red129
264827.6
456440.7
110027.0
Blue95
19027.0
405528.4
490625.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1191028014016018012995

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.70.0
40.740.7
Auto10.0
Teleop25.7
End5.0
red by 12.3
28.40.2
29.128.9
Auto8.5
Teleop16.2
End3.7
Second
2648
#13
27.60.0
27.627.6
Auto9.9
Teleop14.4
End3.2
red by 0.5
190
#14
27.00.2
27.727.6
Auto7.4
Teleop14.6
End5.0
Third
1100
#16
27.00.0
27.127.0
Auto8.2
Teleop14.7
End4.1
red by 1.2
4906
#23
25.80.2
26.526.3
Auto3.9
Teleop18.0
End3.9