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Red107
264827.6
456440.7
110027.0
Blue114
404828.4
172928.1
46726.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1201006080140160180107114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.70.2
40.940.7
Auto10.0
Teleop25.7
End5.0
red by 12.2
4048
#15
28.40.1
28.328.2
Auto6.6
Teleop18.7
End3.2
Second
2648
#13
27.60.2
27.927.6
Auto9.9
Teleop14.4
End3.2
blue by 0.5
28.10.1
27.927.8
Auto8.4
Teleop15.4
End4.3
Third
1100
#16
27.00.2
27.327.1
Auto8.2
Teleop14.7
End4.1
red by 0.1
467
#22
26.90.1
26.726.6
Auto6.1
Teleop15.4
End5.4