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Red56
451417.4
623617.4
338925.9
Blue45
281912.4
284930.9
138928.4
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions607601001502005645

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3389
#15
25.90.0
25.925.9
Auto9.0
Teleop12.4
End4.5
blue by 5.0
2849
#16
30.90.0
30.930.9
Auto10.5
Teleop15.2
End5.2
Second
4514
#18
17.40.0
17.417.4
Auto6.2
Teleop10.4
End0.8
blue by 11.0
1389
#22
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto9.1
Teleop16.3
End3.0
Third
6236
#13
17.40.0
17.417.4
Auto6.9
Teleop7.9
End2.6
red by 4.9
2819
#10
12.40.0
12.412.4
Auto4.0
Teleop7.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
62%Breach odds73%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds2%Capture odds