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Red42
284930.9
450531.8
594524.3
Blue70
171927.0
253431.3
406718.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92770501502004270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.0
31.831.8
Auto8.8
Teleop19.0
End4.1
red by 0.5
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto11.7
Teleop10.9
End8.7
Second
2849
#16
30.90.0
30.930.9
Auto10.5
Teleop15.2
End5.2
red by 3.9
27.00.0
27.027.0
Auto8.6
Teleop14.3
End4.1
Third
5945
#23
24.30.0
24.324.3
Auto8.7
Teleop10.9
End4.7
red by 5.4
4067
#25
18.90.0
18.918.9
Auto4.7
Teleop12.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach odds89%Breach odds
Capture
3%Capture odds2%Capture odds