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Red79
33931.4
88830.6
281912.4
Blue67
53322.8
494917.5
252830.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77720501001502007967

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
339
#4
31.40.0
31.431.4
Auto9.2
Teleop19.4
End2.8
red by 0.6
2528
#28
30.70.0
30.730.7
Auto7.7
Teleop17.0
End6.0
Second
888
#19
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto10.1
Teleop15.5
End5.0
red by 7.9
533
#6
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto5.4
Teleop13.1
End4.3
Third
2819
#10
12.40.0
12.412.4
Auto4.0
Teleop7.2
End1.2
blue by 5.1
4949
#21
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto5.3
Teleop10.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach odds80%Breach odds
Capture
6%Capture odds0%Capture odds