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Red89
450531.8
281912.4
53322.8
Blue74
284930.9
394124.9
253730.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65930501502002508974

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.0
31.831.8
Auto8.8
Teleop19.0
End4.1
red by 1.0
2849
#16
30.90.0
30.930.9
Auto10.5
Teleop15.2
End5.2
Second
533
#6
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto5.4
Teleop13.1
End4.3
blue by 7.9
2537
#24
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto9.5
Teleop15.7
End5.4
Third
2819
#10
12.40.0
12.412.4
Auto4.0
Teleop7.2
End1.2
blue by 12.5
3941
#29
24.90.0
24.924.9
Auto6.8
Teleop14.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
57%Breach odds91%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds8%Capture odds